The Cold War
From Yalta to the fall of the Berlin Wall: containment, Berlin and Korea, Cuba, Vietnam, détente and the Gorbachev endgame, with Gaddis and the revisionists, plus 30-mark essay logic for AQA, Edexcel and OCR.
From Yalta to the fall of the Berlin Wall: containment, Berlin and Korea, Cuba, Vietnam, détente and the Gorbachev endgame, with Gaddis and the revisionists, plus 30-mark essay logic for AQA, Edexcel and OCR.
Ideology framed the alliance's collapse: Marxism-Leninism prophesied inevitable conflict with capitalism; liberal self-determination could not absorb a Soviet security doctrine built on buffers. Yalta (February 1945) papered over the gap - the Declaration on Liberated Europe promised free elections, Germany was divided into four occupation zones, Poland's borders moved west (Curzon Line, Oder-Neisse) - but Potsdam (July-August 1945) exposed it: Truman, newly briefed on the atomic bomb (tested 16 July), demanded the promised elections; Attlee replaced Churchill mid-summit; reparations (Stalin's claim on Germany against US insistence on first exporting from current production) and Poland stayed unresolved. Stalin consolidated a buffer zone of front coalitions turning communist (Romania 1945, Poland 1947, Czechoslovakia's coup February 1948); Churchill's Iron Curtain speech (5 March 1946) named the divide, and Kennan's Long Telegram (February 1946) diagnosed 'neurotic' Soviet expansionism prescribing firm counter-pressure.
The quarrel was mirrored: Moscow's Novikov telegram (September 1946) cast the US as pursuing world supremacy through capital export - the Soviet mirror of Kennan - proof for essays that each side read the other's defensive consolidation as offensive. The flashpoints to command: Iran (withdrawal 1946), Greece (the civil war, 1946-49), Turkey (Straits pressure, 1946), Germany (Bizonia 1947, currency reform 1948) - each rehearsed the miscalculation that the Marshall Plan and Cominform turned into rival blocs.
Containment institutionalised: the Truman Doctrine (12 March 1947) - $400m for Greece and Turkey - pledged support for 'free peoples'; the Marshall Plan (June 1947) offered ~$13bn to all Europe, which Stalin forbade his sphere to take. Confrontation fixed on Germany: the Deutsche Mark (20 June 1948) triggered the Berlin Blockade (24 June 1948 - 12 May 1949); the western airlift (~2.3 million tonnes, ~278,000 flights) and a counter-blockade on East German exports broke it without firing. Its products: two German states (FRG May 1949, GDR October 1949), NATO (4 April 1949) and, after West German entry, the Warsaw Pact (May 1955). Historiography: the orthodox school (Feis, Schlesinger) blamed Soviet expansionism; revisionists (Williams's 'Open Door', Kolko, Alperovitz's 'atomic diplomacy') indicted US economic expansionism and nuclear coercion; Gaddis - post-revisionist, then the 'new Cold War history' after Moscow archives opened (We Now Know, 1997) - restored Stalin's agency while crediting both sides' security dilemmas.
The Soviet bomb (August 1949) and Mao's victory (October 1949) transformed containment: NSC-68 (April 1950) militarised it, and Korea tripled US defence spending. Korea (25 June 1950 - 27 July 1953): Kim Il-sung's invasion crossed the 38th parallel (the 1945 division) with Stalin's conditional approval; MacArthur's Inchon landing (September 1950) drove north, and Chinese 'volunteers' (~300,000 from October 1950) pushed the UN forces - 90% American, fighting unvetoed only because Moscow was boycotting the Security Council over China's seat - back to the parallel. The armistice, not peace: some three million dead, most of them Korean civilians; the DMZ persists today. Korea seeded the domino logic and made containment global and military.
Khrushchev's Berlin gambit: his 1958 ultimatum demanding western withdrawal from West Berlin within six months, then the Berlin Wall (13 August 1961) - built to stop the exodus of ~2.7 million East Germans (1949-61) - stabilised the front and, as Kennedy noted, was 'better than a war'. Cuban Missile Crisis (October 1962): Castro's revolution (1959) and the Bay of Pigs fiasco (April 1961) drove Cuba to Moscow; a U-2 flight photographed R-12 medium-range missiles under construction (14 October); Kennedy chose quarantine (announced 22 October) over air strike on EXCOMM's advice; Stevenson confronted Zorin at the UN with the photographic evidence; the deal - Soviet missiles out of Cuba, US Jupiter missiles quietly withdrawn from Turkey - came on 27-28 October, the closest approach of nuclear war. The hotline (1963) and the Partial Test Ban Treaty followed; MAD became the stabilising logic.
| Flashpoint | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Korea, 38th parallel | 1950-53 | Armistice, DMZ - containment held |
| Berlin ultimatum | 1958 | Stand-off; resolved by the Wall |
| Berlin Wall | 13 August 1961 | Front stabilised, exodus stopped |
| Cuba | October 1962 | Quarantine; missiles withdrawn; hotline |
Historiography: Gaddis reads the crisis as proof rational deterrence worked; Allison's Essence of Decision shows bureaucratic and organisational models shaping choice; revisionists note the Jupiter withdrawal was a real concession disguised as victory.
Vietnam: escalation from 16,000 advisers (1963) through the Gulf of Tonkin resolution (August 1964) to 543,000 troops (1969) and Operation Rolling Thunder (1965-68); the Tết Offensive (January 1968) was a tactical failure for the communists but destroyed the US domestic consensus; Nixon's Vietnamisation and the Paris Peace Accords (January 1973) ended US combat; Saigon fell (30 April 1975). Costs: ~58,000 Americans, 1.5-3 million Vietnamese, over $100bn; the War Powers Act (1973) and the 'Vietnam syndrome' checked US intervention for a generation. Historiography: the debate is winnable-or-doomed - Summers's military case versus Karnow and Logevall (missed opportunities of 1963, political-strategic failure) and Westad, who reads the war as US Third World ideology mislabelling nationalism as communism.
Détente: the Sino-Soviet split (Ussuri border clashes, 1969) opened triangulation - Nixon's China visit (February 1972); SALT I (May 1972) froze strategic launchers and the ABM Treaty limited missile defence to two sites (later one), enshrining MAD; the Helsinki Accords (August 1975) traded recognition of Europe's borders (Basket I) for human rights commitments (Basket III) that dissidents - Charter 77, Sakharov - weaponised against Moscow; SALT II (June 1979) capped MIRVed launchers but died with Afghanistan. Détente's balance sheet for essays: it stabilised arms control and legitimised the status quo, but its critics (neo-conservative and orthodox) called it a one-way concession that normalised Soviet control of Eastern Europe; revisionists (Cohen) lament its abandonment as a lost path to ending the Cold War early. Note too the Brezhnev Doctrine (articulated after Czechoslovakia, August 1968): Moscow reserved the right to intervene where socialism was threatened - the guarantee Gorbachev would withdraw in 1989, making 1968 the essential contrast point in end-of-Cold-War essays.
The Soviet invasion of Afghanistan (December 1979) - supporting the PDPA against the mujahideen - killed détente: Carter's grain embargo, the Moscow Olympics boycott (1980) and the Carter Doctrine (January 1980) committed the US to the Persian Gulf. Reagan re-armed: defence spending rose from ~$134bn (1980) to ~$290bn (1988); the 'evil empire' speech (March 1983) and the Strategic Defense Initiative (23 March 1983) - space-based missile defence aimed at breaking MAD - raised pressure; Pershing II and cruise deployments in Europe (November 1983) answered the SS-20s, and the Able Archer exercise scare (November 1983) showed how close miscalculation came. The arms-race-won-it thesis for essays: SDI and deployments strained a stagnating Soviet economy - but the claim needs qualifying, since Soviet growth had stalled under Brezhnev before Reagan. Poland sharpened the pressure: Solidarity (founded August 1980, ~10 million members at its peak, Gdansk under Wałęsa) exposed the regime's hollow legitimacy; Jaruzelski's martial law (December 1981) suppressed it without Soviet invasion - a rehearsal, in reverse, of Moscow's 1989 restraint.
Gorbachev (general secretary from March 1985) chose reform over repression: glasnost and perestroika, underpinned by novoe myshlenie (new thinking) - security as mutual, not zero-sum. The INF Treaty (8 December 1987) abolished an entire class of missiles (2,692 - SS-20s and Pershing IIs) with on-site inspection; Reagan stood at the Brandenburg Gate (12 June 1987): 'Mr Gorbachev, tear down this wall'. 1989: Moscow renounced the Brezhnev Doctrine (the 'Sinatra doctrine'); Hungary opened its Austrian border; Leipzig's Monday demonstrations grew; the Berlin Wall fell (9 November 1989) after Schabowski's improvised press conference; Prague's Velvet Revolution and Romania's violent December followed. German reunification (3 October 1990) via the Two Plus Four Treaty; the Paris Charter (November 1990); the USSR itself dissolved after the failed August 1991 coup - Gorbachev resigned 25 December 1991. Historiography: triumphalists credit Reagan's arms race; Zubok stresses Gorbachev's ideas and illusions; Kotkin isolates the 'Gorbachev factor' - the USSR fell to its own leader's choices, not external pressure; Gaddis holds that a system could not compete economically and ideologically. A* weighs all three: external pressure (SDI, deployments), internal reform (glasnost destroying legitimacy), and contingency (the accidental timing of 1989).